Rational expectation - apologise, but
Modern game theory was born in , when John von Neumann published his Minimax Theorem. Inter alia, this theorem ascribes to all two-person zero-sum games a value—what rational players should expect to get. Almost 80 years later, strategic game theory has not gotten beyond that initial point, insofar as the basic question of value is concerned. To be sure, we do have equilibrium theories: the initial concept of John F. Nash and its various refinements and coarsenings. But when the game is not two-person zero-sum, none of these theories actually tells the players what to expect. rational expectationRational expectation Video
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FRED data. My bibliography Save this paper. We propose a novel interpretation and formalization of Kahneman and Tversky's findings in the Linda experiment which implies that subjects are rational in the sense rational expectation Muth's hypothesis and provides an approach to specifying rational assessment of uncertainty in macroeconomic models.
Behavioral-finance theorists have appealed to Kahneman and Tversky's findings as an empirical foundation for a general approach replacing rational expectations.]
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