What does non hispanic mean - speaking the
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Latino or Hispanic? What's the difference? - BBC NewsEricLevitz In Trump they trust. Of course, that did not happen.
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And for good reason. Despite the rich diversity among this catchall demographic category, all across the country, areas with large Hispanic populations moved sharply right ineven as the broader electorate moved left. In an interview with Intelligencer last month, Democratic data scientist David Shor outlined one account of the results. This narrative has been contested for a while now.
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Moderates, meanwhile, have tended to insist on the primacy of inadequate noon and counseled triangulation as its antidote. Its data indicates that Trump made significant gains with Hispanic Americans who were both previously left-leaning and unlikely to vote. In other words, Trump persuaded these Americans and mobilized them. In an analysis of ballots cast early in the Rio Grande Valley, Equis used a proprietary model to estimate the likely partisanship of voters presumably based on the historic voting pattern among Americans with their fine-grained set of demographic characteristics.
Twenty-one percent of early voters fit the profile of likely Republicans; Trump won nearly double that. Some 57 percent of those early voters had participated in no more than one of the previous three federal elections. All of which suggests that Trump won over a significant number of previously nonvoting, non-Republican Hispanics. But by falllow-propensity Hispanic voters had become markedly more likely to approve of Trump. This defies conventional wisdom, which has held that low-propensity Hispanic voters are at least as Democratic as high-propensity ones after all, more reliable Hispanic voters tend to be more affluent and native-born.
Again, this suggests a significant number of Hispanic Americans went from being left-leaning election abstainers to Trump voters in A connection this tenuous seems unlikely to persuade the unconverted. For its part, Equis offers no firm theory on why Latinas read more particular shifted right. Its report also neither affirms nor rebuts the notion that the heightened salience of policing played a role in the broader shift among Hispanic voters.
Equis evinces more confidence in its account of which voters moved toward Trump than in its explanations msan why they did; the latter is explicitly framed as a work-in-progress.
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But the pandemic reduced the salience of immigration to these voters, while increasing that of the economy. The most direct evidence for this account comes from generally, unreliable focus-group responses. But the narrative is supported by more statistically robust findings.]
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