Understanding the conflict in the middle east - remarkable, useful
Washington would not object to a Palestinian Authority decision to postpone the legislative elections set for next month, an unnamed US source told …. Read more on timesofisrael. Activist and lawyer Ameer Fakhoury weighs in on an unprecedented time for Arabs in Israeli politics — and what that means for the Palestinian …. Listen and follow The Daily Apple Podcasts Spotify Stitcher When a nuclear fuel enrichment site in Iran blew up this month, Tehran immediately said two things: The explosion was no accident, and the Reform, Conservative movements, Meretz, Yesh Atid, Kahol Lavan, Labor lead revolt, demanding the organization provide documents that show the extent …. understanding the conflict in the middle east
Comparisons to the Nazis should only be made in cases where acts were unique and specific to the Nazis. Honest characterization - when quoting or paraphrasing another poster characterize their arguments honestly. Post deletion - if you start a discussion tthe others join in don't delete the post just because you are satisfied with the answers. Discussion Planning for the Future self. Love it or hate it the US looks to be on its way out of the Middle East.
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The first three scenarios involve a more distant disinterested US, but still involved to some degree. The five following scenarios involve near total US disengagement, to the point at which Israel must seek support from other Great Powers.
The US remains nominally in support of Israel but won't provide the same level of diplomatic and military support that it currently does. The US deals with the a two party split in which the Republicans favour support of Israel and the Democrats support Palestine.
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Go here US pivots fully to a pro-Palestine postion, withdrawing full diplomatic and military support for Israel. US Nominal : I think this is the most likely scenario out of all of them, overall this is the status quo the US focus moves on to Asia-Pacific, but Israel remains an important US ally to help keep the region in check and balance Russian and Iranian influence.
US Two Party : I think this is likely, but not for awhile. The US would need to have a greater realignment of political factions, which is occuring but likely won't be complete for several more decades and there is no guarantee that Israel or Understanding the conflict in the middle east will be particularly important once the US reduces involvement in the Middle East. US supports Palestine : This is highly unlikely, Evangelicals remain an extremely powerful force in US politics and are unlikely to to suddenly reverse their position on Israel and neither are they likely to become irrelavent to US internal political forces.
This would also be a huge on foreign policy which is highly destabilizing for any country and would surely drive Israel to allign with a foreign power and share their knowledge of the US operations with their new ally weakening the US as well as damage credibality amongst other allies. Russia : If Israel were to no longer have the US ynderstanding an ally the Russians might be a good reallignment, however Russia's long term alliance with Syria and as the anti-American axis in the region leaves this unlikely as it would have a similar problem as the US sudden realignment. An issue is Russian support for Iran, fortunately this is an historical anomaly, Russia and Iran are in a prime postion to be rivals and historically have been with regards to central Asia a region which until the 19th Century was Iran's backyard.
Points in favour are Israel's large Russian speaking population and Russia's interest in Understanding the conflict in the middle east technology, although this alliance outside of a Great power alliance has little to offer Israel. Russian military technology is sub-par when compared to the US and Russia has appeared to be declining since the fall of the USSR and IMO seems unlikely to recover it's former postion without major overhauls and a return to a growing population. China : A reallignment with China could be profitable to Fonflict a large market to sell to and a government relatively disinterested in human rights, means very little pressure on Israel to be anything but a loyal rhe. China's current Middle East alliances with Iran fall into more of an alliance of conviniance than alliance of shared interests, Iran is a growing power and will eventually have to shed its alliances with the other Asian powers if it ever wants to be taken seriously, if not they will try to keep them surpressed in order to prevent the rise of more Asian powers read article the already over crowed continent.
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Unfortunately, this alliance outside of a market has significant problems; China is has a rather underwhelming military technology, although even if cnflict were to change a further weakness is caused by China's poor navy and inability to project Hard Power outside of South and East Asia, unless China is understanding the conflict in the middle east over come US dominance in the Pacific it will never be a reliable enough ally for Israel. This challenge of over coming the US will be the upcoming challenge for them in the coming century regardless so until they have they serve little interest in helping Israel.
India : India is IMO, the best and most likely realignment, assuming reallignment is necessary. Unlike China and Russia, India is likely to be a US ally in the coming century, which will mean less backlash from the realignment. Ths also has the same advantage as China a huge market for Israeli products and a greater need for them as India will be looking to harness technology to industrialise and built a powerful information state with the capacity to compete with China and India.
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article source India's conflict with Pakistan already places Israel in a good position as a Pakistani and Iranian alliance is very favourable for both countries, cooperation on the Balochistan region and with both being strong Islamists, cultural clashs are less likely. This places Israel in a good position to be supported by India, India is also closer to Israel geographically making cooperation more probable.
Not to mention the already good relations between Israelis and Indians, a big tourism location for Israelis and lots of Indians come to look after old age Israelis. Now there are downsides, mainly the same as Russia and China, a weak defence industry and sub-par technology, however the chances of this being remedied are greater.
A joint Israeli-Indian defence industry will be seen as less of a threat to the US and India will need to support a greater defence industry eat China, this should also lead to the development of a stronger Indian navy to reclaim the Indian ocean and prevent Chinese incursions. Overall this could develop into a very strong relationship assuming Tthe is actually able overcome its current issues with understanding the conflict in the middle east and bloated size.
The EU offers similar benefits to the US, the only difference being Europe's hangover from its days of imperialism and colonialism making it less likely to intervene anywhere not considered directly necessary to protect Europe. This makes them less desireable than the other powers, however their defence industry is very well developed and could provide a suitable continue reading to the US, however they are unlikely to want to get involved in the Middle East.
Ultimately, while from an Israeli perspective it might seem good, the Europeans are unlikely to reciprocate and will most likely enter a more isolationist phase focusing on Europe and not involving themselves in the world affairs clnflict of those directly affecting them.]
I am sorry, it not absolutely approaches me. Who else, what can prompt?
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